There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Jiangsu Expressway (HKG:177) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiangsu Expressway is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.073 = CN¥5.2b ÷ (CN¥84b - CN¥13b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Jiangsu Expressway has an ROCE of 7.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Infrastructure industry average of 5.2%.
In the above chart we have measured Jiangsu Expressway's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Jiangsu Expressway for free.
So How Is Jiangsu Expressway's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Jiangsu Expressway's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 12%, but since then they've fallen to 7.3%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Expressway's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Jiangsu Expressway is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 8.7% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.
Jiangsu Expressway does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Expressway that you might be interested in.
While Jiangsu Expressway isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.