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Viking Holdings Ltd's (NYSE:VIK) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 24 19:56

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, Viking Holdings Ltd (NYSE:VIK) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 3.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NYSE:VIK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2024

How Has Viking Holdings Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Viking Holdings as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Viking Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Viking Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, even though the last 12 month performance was only fair. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Viking Holdings is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Analysts are forecasting Viking Holdings' revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Viking Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Viking Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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