Despite an already strong run, Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600965) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 42% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.3% over the last year.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Food industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 30% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei)Ltd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.