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What Shenyu Communication Technology Inc.'s (SZSE:300563) 35% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25 06:39

Shenyu Communication Technology Inc. (SZSE:300563) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 347% gain over the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.5x, you may consider Shenyu Communication Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 13.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SZSE:300563 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2024

How Shenyu Communication Technology Has Been Performing

Shenyu Communication Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenyu Communication Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenyu Communication Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenyu Communication Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen a 13% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenyu Communication Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Shenyu Communication Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Shenyu Communication Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shenyu Communication Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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