share_log

We Think Sailvan Times (SZSE:301381) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25, 2024 07:46

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Sailvan Times Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301381) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Sailvan Times's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Sailvan Times had debt of CN¥713.8m, up from CN¥175.8m in one year. But it also has CN¥1.41b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥692.6m net cash.

big
SZSE:301381 Debt to Equity History December 24th 2024

A Look At Sailvan Times' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sailvan Times had liabilities of CN¥2.12b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥450.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.41b as well as receivables valued at CN¥401.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥758.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Sailvan Times shares are worth a total of CN¥9.33b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sailvan Times also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

And we also note warmly that Sailvan Times grew its EBIT by 16% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sailvan Times's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Sailvan Times has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Sailvan Times recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Sailvan Times's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥692.6m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 16% over the last year. So is Sailvan Times's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sailvan Times (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment