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GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600771) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25 10:30

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine (SHSE:600771) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 11% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine is:

5.0% = CN¥80m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's Earnings Growth And 5.0% ROE

On the face of it, GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 7.7% either. For this reason, GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's five year net income decline of 21% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.1% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

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SHSE:600771 Past Earnings Growth December 25th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Because GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine doesn't pay any regular dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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