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Has Dongguan Aohai Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002993) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25, 2024 11:16

Dongguan Aohai Technology (SZSE:002993) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 62% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Dongguan Aohai Technology's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dongguan Aohai Technology is:

7.7% = CN¥389m ÷ CN¥5.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Dongguan Aohai Technology's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

When you first look at it, Dongguan Aohai Technology's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. On the other hand, Dongguan Aohai Technology reported a moderate 12% net income growth over the past five years. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Dongguan Aohai Technology's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 12% in the same period.

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SZSE:002993 Past Earnings Growth December 25th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Dongguan Aohai Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Dongguan Aohai Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Dongguan Aohai Technology's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 18% (implying that it retains 82% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Moreover, Dongguan Aohai Technology is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of four years of paying a dividend.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Dongguan Aohai Technology has some positive aspects to its business. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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