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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Hess Midstream LP's (NYSE:HESM) P/E

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25 20:26

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Hess Midstream LP (NYSE:HESM) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 20.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Hess Midstream has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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NYSE:HESM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hess Midstream.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hess Midstream would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. EPS has also lifted 10% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Hess Midstream is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Hess Midstream's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Hess Midstream's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hess Midstream (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hess Midstream, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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