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Despite Lower Earnings Than a Year Ago, Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (SHSE:600120) Investors Are up 39% Since Then

前年に比べて収益が低下したにもかかわらず、Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group (SHSE:600120)の投資家はそれ以来39%増加しています。

Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/26 00:55

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600120) share price is up 36% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 12% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 9.0% in the last three years.

In light of the stock dropping 9.7% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over the last twelve months, Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group actually shrank its EPS by 56%.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We doubt the modest 1.2% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. Unfortunately Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group's fell 25% over twelve months. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SHSE:600120 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 26th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group's TSR for the last 1 year was 39%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 39% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 1.6% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
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