Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000901) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group's Debt?
As you can see below, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group had CN¥781.0m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥898.1m a year prior. However, it also had CN¥744.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥36.4m.
How Healthy Is Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group had liabilities of CN¥2.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.48b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥744.6m in cash and CN¥2.08b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.34b.
Of course, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group has a market capitalization of CN¥9.04b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group reported revenue of CN¥7.1b, which is a gain of 13%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥60m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥181m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.