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Is Studio City International Holdings (NYSE:MSC) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 26, 2024 04:13

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Studio City International Holdings Limited (NYSE:MSC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Studio City International Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Studio City International Holdings had US$2.18b of debt in September 2024, down from US$2.43b, one year before. However, it does have US$113.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.06b.

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NYSE:MSC Debt to Equity History December 26th 2024

A Look At Studio City International Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Studio City International Holdings had liabilities of US$152.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.16b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$113.2m as well as receivables valued at US$1.93m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.19b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$1.26b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Studio City International Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.38 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.3 hit our confidence in Studio City International Holdings like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Studio City International Holdings is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of US$50m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Studio City International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Studio City International Holdings burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Studio City International Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We think the chances that Studio City International Holdings has too much debt a very significant. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Studio City International Holdings you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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