Despite an already strong run, Cosonic Intelligent Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300793) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.8% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Cosonic Intelligent Technologies as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Has Cosonic Intelligent Technologies Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Cosonic Intelligent Technologies recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cosonic Intelligent Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cosonic Intelligent Technologies?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Cosonic Intelligent Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 19% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Cosonic Intelligent Technologies' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Cosonic Intelligent Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?
Cosonic Intelligent Technologies shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Cosonic Intelligent Technologies revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware Cosonic Intelligent Technologies is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.