Despite an already strong run, Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Inc. (SZSE:002031) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Greatoo Intelligent Equipment as a stock not worth researching with its 10.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Performed Recently?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Greatoo Intelligent Equipment as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Greatoo Intelligent Equipment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Greatoo Intelligent Equipment's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 48% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 46% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Greatoo Intelligent Equipment's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has lead to Greatoo Intelligent Equipment's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Greatoo Intelligent Equipment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Greatoo Intelligent Equipment you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Greatoo Intelligent Equipment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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