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Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002523) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 27 07:01

Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (SZSE:002523) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 31% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane is:

2.2% = CN¥53m ÷ CN¥2.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's Earnings Growth And 2.2% ROE

It is quite clear that Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 15% seen by Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

That being said, we compared Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 7.4% in the same 5-year period.

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SZSE:002523 Past Earnings Growth December 26th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 52% (implying that 48% of the profits are retained), most of Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

Additionally, Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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