Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:RXRX) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 30% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, Recursion Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 33.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 10.2x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Recursion Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Recursion Pharmaceuticals has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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In order to justify its P/S ratio, Recursion Pharmaceuticals would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 38% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 14% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 99% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Recursion Pharmaceuticals' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Recursion Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Recursion Pharmaceuticals have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It comes as a surprise to see Recursion Pharmaceuticals trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Recursion Pharmaceuticals (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Recursion Pharmaceuticals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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