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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited's (SZSE:301011) Shares After Tumbling 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 28, 2024 06:03

The GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (SZSE:301011) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 16%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking GuangZhou Wahlap Technology is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Leisure industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SZSE:301011 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2024

What Does GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, GuangZhou Wahlap Technology has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 68% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's P/S?

There's still some elevation in GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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