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Improved Revenues Required Before HBM Holdings Limited (HKG:2142) Stock's 48% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 27, 2024 17:33

HBM Holdings Limited (HKG:2142) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 48% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.2% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, HBM Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 10.1x and even P/S above 40x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SEHK:2142 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2024

What Does HBM Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

HBM Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for HBM Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like HBM Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 138% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why HBM Holdings' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

HBM Holdings' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

In line with expectations, HBM Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for HBM Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of HBM Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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