Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603777) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 38% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 10% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Consumer Retailing industry is similar at about 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Shanghai LaiyifenLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai LaiyifenLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai LaiyifenLtd?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 9.7% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shanghai LaiyifenLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look at Shanghai LaiyifenLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shanghai LaiyifenLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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