COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (HKG:1919) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 15% over the last month. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' ROE in this article.
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is:
17% = CN¥46b ÷ CN¥271b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.17 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
A Side By Side comparison of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' Earnings Growth And 17% ROE
To start with, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 7.9%. Probably as a result of this, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings was able to see a decent growth of 19% over the last five years.
Next, on comparing COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 19% over the last few years.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
With a three-year median payout ratio of 50% (implying that the company retains 50% of its profits), it seems that COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.
Additionally, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 48%. Regardless, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' ROE is speculated to decline to 7.8% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.
Summary
Overall, we are quite pleased with COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.