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Forward Industries, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FORD) Share Price Boosted 31% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 28, 2024 20:02

Forward Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Forward Industries as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqCM:FORD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2024

What Does Forward Industries' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Forward Industries' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Forward Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Forward Industries?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Forward Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.5% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 15% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.4% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Forward Industries' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Forward Industries' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Forward Industries confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Forward Industries (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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