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We Think Freshpet (NASDAQ:FRPT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Freshpet (NASDAQ:FRPT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲Freshpet(納斯達克:FRPT)能夠保持其債務的優勢
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/29 04:21

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Freshpet, Inc. (NASDAQ:FRPT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李璐(查理·芒格支持的人)曾說過:『最大投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。』在審視一家公司的風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲當企業崩潰時,債務往往是一個因素。與許多其他公司一樣,Freshpet, Inc.(納斯達克:FRPT)也使用了債務。但是這筆債務對股東而言是否是個問題呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行債務,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債就會變得風險重重。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法支付其債權人,就可能會破產。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們常常看到負債公司的股東被迫永久稀釋,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低迷的價格籌集資本。儘管如此,最常見的情況是公司能夠合理管理其債務——並對其自身有利。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Freshpet Carry?

Freshpet的債務有多少?

As you can see below, Freshpet had US$394.6m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$274.6m, its net debt is less, at about US$120.0m.

如下所示,截至2024年9月,Freshpet的債務爲39460萬美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表以獲取更多細節。然而,由於它有27460萬美元的現金儲備,因此其淨債務較少,約爲12000萬美元。

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NasdaqGM:FRPT Debt to Equity History December 29th 2024
納斯達克GM:FRPT債務與股本歷史 2024年12月29日

A Look At Freshpet's Liabilities

審視Freshpet的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that Freshpet had liabilities of US$89.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$421.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$274.6m as well as receivables valued at US$65.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$170.6m.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Freshpet的負債爲8,920萬美元,需在一年內償還,42100萬美元的負債將在其後到期。抵消這些義務,它擁有27460萬美元的現金以及價值6,500萬美元的應收款,需在12個月內償還。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款的總和17060萬美元。

Given Freshpet has a market capitalization of US$7.10b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鑑於Freshpet的市值爲71億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以免它變得更糟。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要指標來告知我們債務水平與盈利的關係。第一個是淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,而第二個是其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用(或其利息覆蓋,簡稱)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。

Freshpet has net debt of just 1.2 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Freshpet turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$34m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Freshpet's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Freshpet的淨債務僅爲EBITDA的1.2倍,這表明它可以在不費力的情況下提高槓杆率。而且,值得注意的是,儘管有淨債務,它在過去12個月內實際收到的利息超過了需要支付的利息。所以可以公平地說,它能夠像一位高超的鐵板燒大廚一樣處理債務。看到儘管去年EBIT行虧損,Freshpet在過去12個月內扭轉了局面,創造了3400萬美元的EBIT,真是令人高興。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但未來的收益,尤其是,更是判斷Freshpet能否維持健康資產負債表的關鍵。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這個免費的報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Freshpet saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬的現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,值得檢查利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去一年中,Freshpet的自由現金流總量出現了較大負值。儘管投資者無疑期待這種情況會隨着時間的推移發生逆轉,但這顯然也意味着其債務使用風險更高。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Freshpet is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Freshpet's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Freshpet .

根據我們看到的情況,Freshpet並沒有找到容易的辦法,考慮到其EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的情況,但我們考慮的其他因素讓我們感到樂觀。 毫無疑問,其用EBIt覆蓋利息費用的能力相當出色。 當我們考慮到以上提到的所有因素時,我們確實對Freshpet的債務使用感到有些謹慎。 雖然債務在提高潛在收益方面有其好處,我們認爲股東確實應該考慮債務水平如何可能使股票風險增加。 資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。 然而,並非所有投資風險都在資產負債表中——遠非如此。 爲此,你應該注意到我們發現的關於Freshpet的1個警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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