share_log

Ribo Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603196) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 29, 2024 16:20

The Ribo Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603196) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.8% over the last twelve months.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may still consider Ribo Fashion Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

big
SHSE:603196 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 30th 2024

What Does Ribo Fashion Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Ribo Fashion Group's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ribo Fashion Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ribo Fashion Group?

Ribo Fashion Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 3.7% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ribo Fashion Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

There's still some elevation in Ribo Fashion Group's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Ribo Fashion Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Ribo Fashion Group that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment