Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (NYSE:DDL) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 114%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Dingdong (Cayman)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Retailing industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent revenue growth for Dingdong (Cayman) has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Dingdong (Cayman)'s future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dingdong (Cayman)?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dingdong (Cayman) would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.6%. The latest three year period has also seen a 24% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.7%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Dingdong (Cayman) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
Dingdong (Cayman)'s plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Looking at Dingdong (Cayman)'s analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Dingdong (Cayman) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.