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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600238) As Shares Slide 26%

Hainan Yedao(グループ)株式会社(SHSE:600238)において一部の信頼が欠けており、株価は26%下落しています。

Simply Wall St ·  01/02 17:09

Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600238) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 22% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 4.8x, you may still consider Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 15.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SHSE:600238 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2025

How Has Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.1% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 78% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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