When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Chinasoft International Limited (HKG:354) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 17.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Chinasoft International as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Chinasoft International's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 36% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per annum as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Chinasoft International is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Chinasoft International's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Chinasoft International maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Chinasoft International that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Chinasoft International. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
