Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Weihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300699) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Weihai Guangwei Composites Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Weihai Guangwei Composites had CN¥1.12b of debt, an increase on CN¥332.4m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥694.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥424.8m.
A Look At Weihai Guangwei Composites' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Weihai Guangwei Composites had liabilities of CN¥1.12b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.09b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥694.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.37b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥855.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Weihai Guangwei Composites has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weihai Guangwei Composites has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.37. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 72.6 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Weihai Guangwei Composites has increased its EBIT by 9.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Weihai Guangwei Composites's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Weihai Guangwei Composites actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
The good news is that Weihai Guangwei Composites's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Weihai Guangwei Composites can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Weihai Guangwei Composites is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.