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Is BlueLinx Holdings (NYSE:BXC) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 3 08:43

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BXC) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is BlueLinx Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, BlueLinx Holdings had US$294.7m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$526.3m in cash, so it actually has US$231.5m net cash.

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NYSE:BXC Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2025

How Healthy Is BlueLinx Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that BlueLinx Holdings had liabilities of US$257.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$697.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$526.3m in cash and US$278.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$151.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded BlueLinx Holdings shares are worth a total of US$856.2m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, BlueLinx Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Shareholders should be aware that BlueLinx Holdings's EBIT was down 37% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if BlueLinx Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. BlueLinx Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, BlueLinx Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

Although BlueLinx Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$231.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 94% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$114m. So we are not troubled with BlueLinx Holdings's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for BlueLinx Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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