QITIAN Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300061) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 109%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Medical Equipment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.7x, you may still consider QITIAN Technology Group as a stock not worth researching with its 9.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has QITIAN Technology Group Performed Recently?
For instance, QITIAN Technology Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on QITIAN Technology Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For QITIAN Technology Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as QITIAN Technology Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 24%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 40% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that QITIAN Technology Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From QITIAN Technology Group's P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, QITIAN Technology Group's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that QITIAN Technology Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with QITIAN Technology Group.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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