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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002689) Shares Dive 32%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 3 18:10

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002689) shares have retraced a considerable 32% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SZSE:002689 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2025

How Has Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 25% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry GroupLtd that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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