With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x Omnicell, Inc. (NASDAQ:OMCL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 8x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Omnicell's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Omnicell's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Omnicell.How Is Omnicell's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Omnicell's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 10%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 6.2% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.6% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Omnicell's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Omnicell's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Omnicell's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Omnicell, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.