To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for China Energy Engineering:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.045 = CN¥19b ÷ (CN¥858b - CN¥439b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, China Energy Engineering has an ROCE of 4.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 5.9%.
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for China Energy Engineering's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating China Energy Engineering's past further, check out this free graph covering China Energy Engineering's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From China Energy Engineering's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at China Energy Engineering doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 4.5% from 6.3% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, China Energy Engineering's current liabilities are still rather high at 51% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line
In summary, China Energy Engineering is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 23% to shareholders over the last five years. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with China Energy Engineering and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
While China Energy Engineering isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
