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COL Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300364) 27% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 5 08:24

COL Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300364) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.5% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may still consider COL GroupLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 13.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:300364 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2025

What Does COL GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

COL GroupLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on COL GroupLtd.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For COL GroupLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like COL GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.2% decrease to the company's top line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 64% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that COL GroupLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does COL GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price drop, COL GroupLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that COL GroupLtd maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Media industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for COL GroupLtd you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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