YaGuang Technology Group Company Limited (SZSE:300123) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 24% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, YaGuang Technology Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Aerospace & Defense industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.7x and even P/S above 15x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
SZSE:300123 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2025
How Has YaGuang Technology Group Performed Recently?
For instance, YaGuang Technology Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on YaGuang Technology Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, YaGuang Technology Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 32%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 19% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 55% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that YaGuang Technology Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
The southerly movements of YaGuang Technology Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of YaGuang Technology Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for YaGuang Technology Group (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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