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Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300468) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 4 16:55

The Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300468) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 40%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.4x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SZSE:300468 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2025

How Has Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd Performed Recently?

The recent revenue growth at Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd?

Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.6% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 18% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price drop, Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Forms Syntron InformationLtd (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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