Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002501) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 12% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 16.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 38%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing's P/S
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing's very lofty P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.