AVIT Ltd. (SZSE:300264) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, AVIT may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.7x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does AVIT's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, AVIT has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for AVIT, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is AVIT's Revenue Growth Trending?
AVIT's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 82% last year. Revenue has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 17% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that AVIT's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does AVIT's P/S Mean For Investors?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate AVIT's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that AVIT currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - AVIT has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AVIT, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.