Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002483) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries Carry?
As you can see below, Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries had CN¥1.09b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.44b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.36b net cash.
How Healthy Is Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries had liabilities of CN¥5.36b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥533.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.44b and CN¥2.03b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥422.2m.
Since publicly traded Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries shares are worth a total of CN¥4.33b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Another good sign is that Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries has been able to increase its EBIT by 24% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥2.36b. The cherry on top was that in converted 182% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥405m. So we don't think Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries that you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.