The Jiangxi Tianli Technology, INC. (SZSE:300399) share price has softened a substantial 30% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 67% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, Jiangxi Tianli Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.3x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 6.1x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Jiangxi Tianli Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Jiangxi Tianli Technology over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangxi Tianli Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Jiangxi Tianli Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiangxi Tianli Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.0% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 5.8% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 30% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangxi Tianli Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Jiangxi Tianli Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Even after such a strong price drop, Jiangxi Tianli Technology's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Jiangxi Tianli Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiangxi Tianli Technology you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.