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China Zheshang Bank (HKG:2016) Shareholders Have Endured a 28% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

China Zheshang Bank (HKG:2016) Shareholders Have Endured a 28% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

浙商银行 (HKG:2016) 的股东在五年前投资该股票时遭受了28%的损失。
Simply Wall St ·  01/06 09:40

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in China Zheshang Bank Co., Ltd (HKG:2016), since the last five years saw the share price fall 48%.

为了证明选择个别股票的努力是有价值的,努力超过市场指数基金的回报是值得的。但几乎所有投资者都可以肯定拥有表现优异和表现不佳的股票。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们对浙商银行股份有限公司(HKG:2016)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了48%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

所以让我们看看公司的长期表现是否与其基本业务的发展相符。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认的是,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映基本的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随时间变化的。

Looking back five years, both China Zheshang Bank's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 0.5% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 12% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The low P/E ratio of 3.90 further reflects this reticence.

回顾过去五年,浙商银行的股价和每股收益都在下降;后者的年均下降率为0.5%。读者应注意,在此期间,股价的下降速度快于每股收益,年均下降率为12%。这意味着市场之前对该股票的预期过于乐观。低至3.90的市盈率进一步反映了这种谨慎。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的每股收益(随时间)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

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SEHK:2016 Earnings Per Share Growth January 6th 2025
SEHK:2016 每股收益增长 2025年1月6日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on China Zheshang Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们很高兴地报告,首席执行官的薪酬比大多数相似资本化公司的首席执行官要谦逊得多。持续关注首席执行官的薪酬是值得的,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来几年保持盈利增长。如果你想更深入地调查这只股票,这份关于浙商银行的盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China Zheshang Bank, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考虑任何股票的总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。TSR是一个回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和分拆的计算价值。可以说,TSR提供了股票生成回报的更全面的视图。以浙商银行为例,在过去5年中,它的TSR为-28%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。而且,显而易见,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

China Zheshang Bank provided a TSR of 15% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 5% endured over half a decade. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Zheshang Bank better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Zheshang Bank .

浙商银行在过去12个月提供了15%的TSR。不幸的是,这低于市场回报。值得庆幸的是,这仍然是一个增益,肯定比过去五年每年约5%的损失要好。很可能这项业务正在稳定。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有趣。但为了更好地了解浙商银行,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,您应该注意到我们发现的浙商银行的1个警告信号。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果你喜欢与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这个免费的公司名单。(提示:很多公司鲜为人知,而且估值吸引。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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