Is Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd (SZSE:002602) A Risky Investment?
Is Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd (SZSE:002602) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002602) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯很恰當地說,'我擔心的風險不是股價波動,而是永久性損失的可能性……每個我認識的實際投資者同樣擔心這一點。' 所以,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,浙江世紀華通集團有限公司(SZSE:002602)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東需要擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其借款人,那麼它就處在他們的掌控之中。如果情況真的很糟糕,借款人可以控制企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債企業因債權人迫使他們以低價籌集資本而永久稀釋股東利益。當然,許多公司利用債務來促進增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,我們首先會考慮現金和債務的結合。
What Is Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's Debt?
浙江世紀華通集團有限公司的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd had debt of CN¥4.25b, up from CN¥3.49b in one year. But it also has CN¥5.29b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.04b net cash.
下面的圖片可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示到2024年9月,浙江世紀華通集團有限公司的債務爲42.5億人民幣,較去年增長了34.9億人民幣。但它也有52.9億人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,意味着它的淨現金爲10.4億人民幣。
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
浙江世紀華通集團的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥10.5b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.81b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.27b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.77b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,浙江世紀華通集團的短期負債爲105億人民幣,長期負債爲18.1億人民幣。抵消這些義務後,它的現金爲52.9億人民幣,還有價值42.7億人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和27.7億人民幣。
Of course, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥34.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,浙江世紀華通集團的市值爲344億人民幣,所以這些負債可能是可控的。話雖如此,顯然我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。儘管它有值得注意的負債,但浙江世紀華通集團的現金仍然超過債務,因此我們對它能安全地管理債務相當有信心。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd has boosted its EBIT by 87%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
此外,我們很高興地報告,浙江世紀華通集團的EBIT增長了87%,從而減少了未來債務還款的壓力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但更重要的是未來的收益將決定浙江世紀華通集團在今後保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,雖然稅務機關可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款方只接受冷硬現金。雖然浙江世紀華通集團在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力仍然值得,這能幫助我們理解它構建(或減少)現金餘額的速度。在過去三年中,浙江世紀華通集團實際上產生了比EBIT更多的自由現金流。這種強勁的現金轉化讓我們像在Daft Punk演唱會的節拍下降時一樣興奮。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd has CN¥1.04b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.9b, being 135% of its EBIT. So is Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但浙江世紀華通集團有限公司擁有10.4億人民幣的淨現金,這讓人很放心。它的自由現金流達到了29億人民幣,佔其EBIT的135%。那麼,浙江世紀華通集團有限公司的債務是個風險嗎?在我們看來似乎不是。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都來源於資產負債表——遠不止如此。請注意,浙江世紀華通集團有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示出1個警告信號,您應該了解...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。