The Three-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Xinyi Glass Holdings (HKG:868) Stock Falls a Further 8.9% in Past Week
The Three-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Xinyi Glass Holdings (HKG:868) Stock Falls a Further 8.9% in Past Week
The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited (HKG:868) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 62% drop in the share price over that period. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 23% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 13% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
事实是,如果你投资足够长的时间,你最终会面临一些亏损的股票。但过去三年对长期信义玻璃控股有限公司 (HKG:868) 的股东们来说特别艰难。遗憾的是,他们不得不忍受股价在此期间下跌了62%。最近,股东们的处境更为困难,过去90天股价下跌了23%。当然,这一股价的波动很可能受到整体市场在此期间下跌13%的影响。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是一种反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度在一段时间内是如何变化的。
Xinyi Glass Holdings saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 19% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 27% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 5.33.
信义玻璃控股在过去三年中,每股收益以19%的复合年增长率下降。股价下跌27%实际上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,这似乎表明市场在过去对于业务过于自信。这种谨慎的态度在较低的市盈率上也有所体现,目前市盈率为5.33。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图像中查看每股收益随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切值)。
We know that Xinyi Glass Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
我们知道信义玻璃近期改善了其盈利状况,但它会增长营业收入吗?如果您感兴趣,可以查看这份关于共识营业收入预测的免费报告。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Xinyi Glass Holdings the TSR over the last 3 years was -54%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应该考虑总股东回报(TSR)。而股价回报仅反映股价的变动,TSR则包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价融资或分拆的收益。可以说,TSR提供了股票产生回报的更全面的视角。我们注意到,在过去三年中,信义玻璃的TSR为-54%,这好于上述提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上得益于其分红!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Xinyi Glass Holdings shareholders are down 0.7% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 23%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 2% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Xinyi Glass Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Xinyi Glass Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
信义玻璃的股东在这一年中损失了0.7%(即使包括分红),但市场本身上涨了23%。即使是好的股票,有时股价也会下跌,但我们希望在过于关注之前,看到企业基础指标的改善。不幸的是,长期股东遭受了更严重的损失,在过去五年中损失了2%。在认为股价将稳定之前,我们希望有明确的信息表明公司将增长。跟踪长期的股价表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解信义玻璃,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。以风险为例 - 信义玻璃有3个警告信号(还有1个不容忽视),我认为您应该了解。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更倾向于查看其他公司——一个财务状况可能更优的公司——那么不要错过这个免费的公司列表,它们已经证明能够实现盈利增长。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。