If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd (SZSE:002777) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.033 = CN¥59m ÷ (CN¥2.6b - CN¥845m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd has an ROCE of 3.3%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 2.3% generated by the Software industry, it's much better.
In the above chart we have measured Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd Tell Us?
In terms of Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.3% from 12% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
In Conclusion...
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 22% from where it was five years ago. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.