Trump's Greenland Gambit: Kalshi Bettors See 21% Chance He'll Seal The Deal Before This Date
Trump's Greenland Gambit: Kalshi Bettors See 21% Chance He'll Seal The Deal Before This Date
A similar bet was live on the Bettors on the federally authorized betting platform Kalshi predicted a 21% chance of Donald Trump buying Greenland, amid the President-elect's controversial effort to acquire the autonomous Danish region.
在联邦授权的博彩平台Kalshi上，赌徒们预测特朗普购买格林兰的概率为21%，此时，特朗普当选总统正在进行一项有争议的努力，试图收购这个自治的丹麦地区。
What happened: A new betting contract titled "Will Trump buy Greenland?" went live on Dec. 21, with odds in favor of such an occurrence shooting to 21% as of this writing. The odds hit an all-time high of 23.5% on Jan. 5.
发生了什么：一项新的博彩合约名为《特朗普会购买格林兰吗？》于12月21日上线，截至撰写时，相关的赔率已升至21%。该赔率在1月5日达到了23.5%的历史最高点。
The market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan. 20, 2029, the contract stated. About $123,301 has been wagered on the bet at the time of writing.
合约中表示，如果美国在2029年1月20日之前从丹麦至少购买部分格林兰，市场将判断为“是”。截至撰写时，已有约123,301美元的赌注投入该项赌注。
A similar bet was live on the Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based prediction platform, Polymarket, with significantly lower 4% odds in favor. Over $177,000 has been put on the line for the bet.
在基于Polygon的预测平台Polymarket上，也有一项类似的赌注，且相应的概率显著较低，仅为4%。目前为该赌注投入的金额超过177,000美元。
Note that Polymarket is not available to U.S. residents due to regulatory hurdles.
请注意，由于监管障碍，Polymarket对美国居民不可用。
See Also: 'Pharma Bro' Martin Shkreli Predicts Liquidation Doom For MicroStrategy Amid Fall Below $300, Says Bitcoin Will Hit $250K Without Michael Saylor
另见：'药品兄弟'马丁·什克雷利预测MicroStrategy面临清算厄运，因为其股价跌破300美元，并表示比特币将在没有迈克尔·赛勒的情况下达到25万美元
Why It Matters: The betting market develops amid Trump's renewed interest in acquiring the Arctic territory.
重要性：该博彩市场的出现与特朗普对收购北极领土的新兴趣有关。
Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, is expected to visit Greenland on Tuesday, according to a Reuters report.
根据路透社的报道，特朗普的长子特朗普 Jr.预计将在周二访问格林兰。
Greenland is strategically important to the U.S. because it is located on the fastest route from North America to Europe and has considerable mineral deposits.
格林兰对美国具有战略重要性，因为它位于从北美到欧洲的最快航线上，并且拥有相当可观的矿产资源。
However, Greenland Prime Minister Mute Egede has proclaimed, "We are not for sale," in response to Trump's bid.
然而，格林兰首相穆特·埃格德表示：“我们不是出售对象”，这是对特朗普的买盘的回应。
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