Despite Interest Rate Cuts, More Than 1 in 4 Canadians Expect to Be Unable to Pay Bills – Yet More Than 1 in 5 Plan to Take on More Debt
Despite Interest Rate Cuts, More Than 1 in 4 Canadians Expect to Be Unable to Pay Bills – Yet More Than 1 in 5 Plan to Take on More Debt
Inflation continues to be a leading concern for 82% of Canadians, with 44% of those surveyed reporting that their household finances are worse than anticipated in 2024
通货膨胀继续成为82%加拿大人的主要关注点,其中44%的受访者报告称,2024年家庭财务状况比预期更糟。
Key findings from the TransUnion report:
TransUnion报告的关键发现:
- Household financial strains most felt among Gen X (51%), as this generation nears retirement.
- Housing prices of concern to 57%, with only 14% intending to take out a new mortgage in the next 12 months, and 15% considering refinancing their property.
- Millennials hold largest share of debt at $911 billion.
- Millennials most concerned about their ability to keep current with bills and loans, with 35% saying they're not able to pay at least one in full.
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More than half of Canadians (63%) don't expect household income to increase in next six months.
- Gen X(51%)最感受到家庭财务压力,因为这一代人接近退休。
- 57%的人对住房价格感到担忧,只有14%打算在未来12个月内申请新抵押贷款,15%考虑再融资他们的房地产。
- 千禧一代所持债务占比最大,达9110亿。
- 千禧一代最担心自己能否按时支付账单和贷款,35%的人表示他们无法至少一次全额支付。
- 超过一半的加拿大人(63%)预计家庭收入在接下来的六个月内不会增加。
TORONTO, Jan. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- TransUnion's Q4 2024 Consumer Pulse study* reveals that Canadians continue to feel pressure on their personal finances, with over a quarter (26%) of Canadians reporting that they anticipate not being able to pay at least one of their current bills and loans in full. This rate increases for Millennials, with 35% reporting that they anticipate not being able to make at least one of their debt payments in full. This demographic also has the largest share of consumers by age group in Canada's credit market, holding 27% of credit accounts (debt related balances) and surpassing Baby Boomers for the first time. Despite concerns around their personal finances, more than 1 in 5 (22%) Canadians plan to take on additional credit or refinance existing credit in the next year – and of those, 43% anticipate applying for a new credit card.
多伦多,2025年1月7日(环球新闻)——TransUnion的2024年第四季度消费者情绪研究*显示,加拿大人继续感受到个人财务的压力,超过四分之一(26%)的加拿大人报告他们预计不能全额支付至少一笔当前的账单和贷款。对于千禧一代来说,这一比例更高,35%的人表示他们预计不能全额支付至少一项债务。这个群体在加拿大信用市场中拥有最大的年龄消费群体,持有27%的信用账户(债务相关余额),首次超过婴儿潮一代。尽管对个人财务感到担忧,但超过五分之一(22%)的加拿大人计划在明年承担额外的信用或再融资现有的信用——其中43%的人预计会申请新的信用卡。
This concern around making debt repayments comes despite 79% of respondents revealing that their income remained flat or increased in the past three months as well as further interest rate reductions from the Bank of Canada.
尽管79%的受访者透露他们的收入在过去三个月保持不变或有所增加,但在偿还债务方面的担忧依然存在,并且加拿大银行进一步降低了利率。
Many Canadians also continue to feel that their financial outlook is stagnant, with nearly six in 10 (59%) saying that their incomes remained the same in the last three months, and more than half (63%) saying that they don't expect their household income to increase in the next six months.
许多加拿大人仍然觉得他们的财务前景停滞不前,近六成(59%)的人表示他们的收入在过去三个月保持不变,超过一半(63%)的人表示他们不期待在未来六个月内家庭收入会增加。
Millennials** continue to hold the largest share of debt in the Canadian credit market at $911 billion – approximately 38% of all Canadian debt. This is likely due to shifts in life stage as Millennials are increasingly having children, buying homes and continuing to pay off existing debt.
千禧一代**继续在加拿大信用市场中占据最大的债务份额,达到9110亿加元——约占所有加拿大债务的38%。这可能是因为人生阶段的转变,因为千禧一代越来越多地在生育、购房及继续偿还现有债务。
"While economic indicators show that consumers are likely to enjoy some relief from their financial pressures in 2025, many are still navigating the challenges caused by the highest interest rates since 2001 we recently experienced," said Matthew Fabian, director of financial services research and consulting at TransUnion Canada. "With more than half of households expecting their income to stay the same in the next 12 months, added liquidity created by anticipated further interest rate cuts should create some room to breathe, and fuel optimism for 2025."
"虽然经济因子显示消费者可能在2025年享有一些缓解财务压力的机会,但许多人仍在应对我们最近经历的自2001年以来最高利率带来的挑战," TransUnion加拿大金融服务研究与咨询董事Matthew Fabian表示。"超过一半的家庭预计未来12个月收入不变,预计进一步的利率下调所带来的流动性应能提供一定的喘息空间,并为2025年带来乐观预期。"
Other key findings of the study include:
该研究的其他主要发现包括:
Canadians continue to take on new debt despite repayment concerns
Despite concerns around their personal finances, nearly a quarter (22%) of Canadians stated that they intended to take on additional or refinance existing credit in the next year – and of those, 43% anticipate applying for a new credit card. This indicates that some consumers are seeking to have extra credit available to help offset cash flow shortages during tough financial times.
尽管存在还款担忧,加拿大人仍在继续承担新的债务
尽管对个人财务存在担忧,近四分之一(22%)的加拿大人表示他们计划在未来一年增加或再融资现有信用——在这些人中,43%预计会申请新的信用卡。这表明一些消费者希望获得额外的信用,以帮助缓解财务困难时期的现金流短缺。
The study found that consumers are choosing to take on more debt or refinance existing credit despite almost half (49%) expressing concern about the effect of interest rates on their ability to pay off loans, mortgage or credit. Additionally, 30% of consumers said that they're uncomfortable having credit accounts like credit cards and loans.
研究发现,消费者选择承担更多债务或再融资现有信用,尽管几乎一半(49%)的人表示对利率影响其偿还贷款、抵押贷款或信用的能力感到担忧。此外,30%的消费者表示他们对拥有信用账户,如信用卡和贷款感到不安。
Gen Z was the highest among generations who said they plan to apply for new or refinance existing credit within the next year at 34%. This comes as the total Canadian consumer credit debt reached a record $2.5 trillion in Q3 2024.
Z世代是计划在未来一年申请新信用或再融资现有信用的代际中最高的,占34%。与此同时,加拿大消费者信用债务在2024年第三季度达到了2.5万亿加元的历史新高。
Reducing spending remains a priority as some Canadians take steps to protect themselves from recession
Less than half (44%) of Canadians didn't think that the country would enter a recession before the end of 2024. However, among those who said we are in a recession or would be in one by the end of 2024, the most popular stated measures taken to prepare for one was reducing spending (71%), building up savings (36%) and paying down debt (33%).
降低支出仍然是优先事项,因为一些加拿大人采取措施保护自己免受经济衰退的影响。
不到一半(44%)的加拿大人认为该国将在2024年年底之前进入衰退。然而,在那些表示我们正处于衰退中或将在2024年年底之前进入衰退的人中,最常提到的准备措施是减少支出(71%)、增加储蓄(36%)和偿还债务(33%)。
As the Bank of Canada continues to reduce interest rates, the number of Canadians choosing to pay down their debt faster may increase as they see some relief on their monthly payments.
随着加拿大银行继续降低利率,选择更快偿还债务的加拿大人数可能会增加,因为他们会看到每月还款的减轻。
Home purchases take a back seat as interest rates and prices remain a concern
In the current high interest environment, over three quarters (76%) of Canadians said that they were unlikely to purchase a new home in the coming year – up from 72% in Q4 2023.
房屋购买退居次要,因为利率和价格仍然令人担忧
在当前的高利率环境中,超过四分之三(76%)的加拿大人表示他们在明年不太可能购买新房——高于2023年第四季度的72%。
Of those who were considering buying a new home in the coming year, 59% (down from 63% in Q4 2023) said that rising home prices would deter them making a new home purchase (down from 63% in Q4 2023), followed by 44% who reported that rising interest rates would discourage them (down from 52% a year ago). Among those considering purchasing a new home in the next year, the generation who were the most concerned about rising housing prices was Gen X at 65%. The generation who cited lack of home availability the most was Gen Z at 40% (up from just 5% a year ago) and rising interest rates was cited the most by Millennials at 51%.
在考虑在明年购买新房的人中,59%(低于2023年第四季度的63%)表示上涨的房价会阻止他们进行新房购买(低于2023年第四季度的63%),其次是44%的人报告称上涨的利率会让他们感到沮丧(相比一年前的52%有所下降)。在考虑在未来一年购买新房的人中,对房价上涨感到最担忧的是X世代,占65%。而对住房供应不足感到最严重的则是Z世代,占40%(相比一年前仅为5%增加),而对利率上涨感到最担忧的是千禧一代,占51%。
Discretionary spending cuts - a tool to ease economic pressure
As Canadians continue to navigate a tough economic environment, many report reducing discretionary spending to possibly open more cash flow for essentials like groceries and gas.
削减非必需支出 - 以缓解经济压力的工具
随着加拿大人继续应对艰难的经济环境,许多人报告称减少非必需支出,以便可能为诸如杂货和燃料等必需品提供更多现金流。
Among Canadians who said they cut back on discretionary spending like dining out, travel and entertainment in the last three months, these are the types of spending they reported decreasing in that time:
在过去三个月中,加拿大人表示减少了外出就餐、旅行和娱乐等可自由支配的开支,以下是他们在此期间减少的开支类型:
- Dining out (84%)
- Clothing and accessories (59%)
- Food delivery / ordering in (58%)
- Entertainment and media (50%)
- Large purchases (furniture, appliances, cars, etc.) (47%)
- Travel (48%)
- Home improvement (33%)
- Electronics (30%)
- Toys and hobbies (28%)
- 外出就餐(84%)
- 品牌服饰(59%)
- 外卖概念(58%)
- 娱乐和媒体(50%)
- 大额消费(家具、家电、汽车等)(47%)
- 旅行(48%)
- 家居改善(33%)
- 电子产品(30%)
- 玩具和爱好(28%)
*The most recent Consumer Pulse study includes a survey of 1,000 Canadian adult consumers conducted Sept 25 – Oct 6, 2024.
*最新的消费脉搏研究包括对1,000名加拿大成年消费者的调查,调查时间为2024年9月25日至10月6日。
**Generations are defined in this research as follows: Gen Z, 18–26 years old; Millennials, 27–42 years old; Gen X, 43–58 years old; and Baby Boomers, age 59 and above.
**本研究中的各代定义如下:Z世代,18至26岁;千禧一代,27至42岁;X世代,43至58岁;婴儿潮一代,59岁及以上。
About TransUnion (NYSE: TRU)
关于TransUnion(纽交所:TRU)
TransUnion is a global information and insights company with over 13,000 associates operating in more than 30 countries, including Canada, where we're the credit bureau of choice for the financial services ecosystem and most of Canada's largest banks. We make trust possible by ensuring each person is reliably represented in the marketplace. We do this by providing an actionable view of consumers, stewarded with care.
TransUnion是一家全球货币信息和洞察公司,拥有超过13,000名员工,在包括加拿大在内的30多个国家运营。在加拿大,我们是金融服务生态系统和大多数大型银行的首选信用局。我们通过确保每个人在市场上的可靠代表来实现信任。我们通过提供消费者的可操作视图,细心管理这一过程。
Through our acquisitions and technology investments we have developed innovative solutions that extend beyond our strong foundation in core credit into areas such as marketing, fraud, risk and advanced analytics. As a result, consumers and businesses can transact with confidence and achieve great things. We call this Information for Good — and it leads to economic opportunity, great experiences and personal empowerment for millions of people around the world.
通过我们的收购和科技投资,我们开发了超越核心信用的创新解决方案,涉及市场营销、欺诈、风险和爱文思控股分析等领域。因此,消费者和企业可以自信地进行交易,实现伟大的成就。我们称之为善用信息——这为全球数百万人带来了经济机会、良好的体验和个人赋权。
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Contact: Katie Duffy
E-mail: katie.duffy@ketchum.com
Telephone: +1 647-772-0969
联系人:凯蒂·达菲
电子邮件: katie.duffy@ketchum.com
电话: +1 647-772-0969