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It's Down 33% But Yatsen Holding Limited (NYSE:YSG) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 7 07:01

Yatsen Holding Limited (NYSE:YSG) shares have had a horrible month, losing 33% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Personal Products industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may consider Yatsen Holding as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NYSE:YSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 7th 2025

How Has Yatsen Holding Performed Recently?

Yatsen Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Yatsen Holding.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Yatsen Holding would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 47% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.7% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Yatsen Holding is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of Yatsen Holding's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Yatsen Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Having said that, be aware Yatsen Holding is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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