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Herc Holdings' (NYSE:HRI) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Enviable 334% Return Over the Last Five Years

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 7 21:25

Herc Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HRI) shareholders have seen the share price descend 19% over the month. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. In that time, the share price has soared some 309% higher! So it might be that some shareholders are taking profits after good performance. Of course what matters most is whether the business can improve itself sustainably, thus justifying a higher price.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, Herc Holdings managed to grow its earnings per share at 50% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 33% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

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NYSE:HRI Earnings Per Share Growth January 7th 2025

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Herc Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was 334%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Herc Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 34% a year, is even better. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Herc Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Herc Holdings (including 1 which is significant) .

We will like Herc Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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