To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology (SHSE:688093) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = CN¥250m ÷ (CN¥2.1b - CN¥150m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology has an ROCE of 13%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Chemicals industry average of 5.5% it's much better.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 13% from 29% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 7.1% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 28% over the last three years, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
While Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.