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There's Reason For Concern Over Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600381) Massive 29% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 7 14:25

Despite an already strong run, Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600381) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 47% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may consider Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SHSE:600381 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 7th 2025

How Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology Has Been Performing

Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 31% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 75% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 185% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology's P/S

Shares in Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Qinghai Spring Medicinal Resources Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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