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Is NVent Electric (NYSE:NVT) A Risky Investment?

Is NVent Electric (NYSE:NVT) A Risky Investment?

nVent Electric(纽交所:NVT)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/08 03:53

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies nVent Electric plc (NYSE:NVT) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过 ‘波动性与风险远非同义词。’ 所以当你考虑任何股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司陷入困境。 与许多其他公司一样,nVent Electric plc(纽交所:NVT)利用了债务。但是股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时会变得危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当一个企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就变得危险,无论是依靠自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资金。资本主义的一个重要部分是‘创造性破坏’的过程,其中失败的企业被其银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它不得不以低价筹集新股本,从而永久稀释股东权益。话虽如此,大多数情况下是一家公司合理管理其负债并从中获益。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先要将现金与债务一起看待。

What Is nVent Electric's Net Debt?

nvent electric的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 nVent Electric had US$2.26b of debt, an increase on US$1.86b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$137.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.12b.

你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月,nVent Electric 拥有22.6亿美元的债务,相较于一年前的18.6亿美元有所增加。 然而,由于它有13710万美元的现金储备,净债务较少,约为21.2亿美元。

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NYSE:NVT Debt to Equity History January 8th 2025
纽交所:NVT 债务与权益历史 2025年1月8日

How Strong Is nVent Electric's Balance Sheet?

nVent Electric的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that nVent Electric had liabilities of US$776.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.86b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$137.1m as well as receivables valued at US$574.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.92b.

从最新的资产负债表数据来看,nVent Electric的短期负债为77620万美元,长期负债为28.6亿美元。抵消这些义务的是13710万美元现金以及57490万美元的应收账款。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款总和29.2亿美元。

nVent Electric has a very large market capitalization of US$11.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

nVent Electric的市值非常大,达到118亿美元,因此如果有需要,它很可能会筹集现金来改善其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该仔细检查它是否能在不稀释的情况下管理其债务。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们通过看净债务与息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何轻松地覆盖利息费用(利息覆盖)来衡量一家公司相对于其获利能力的债务负担。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了其支付的利率。

nVent Electric's debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. If nVent Electric can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 18% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine nVent Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

nVent Electric的债务是其EBITDA的2.6倍,EBIT能覆盖其利息支出6.4倍。综合来看,这意味着,尽管我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它能够处理当前的杠杆。如果nVent Electric能够保持去年18%的EBIT增长率,那么它将发现其债务负担更容易管理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。但未来的收益,超过一切,将判断nVent Electric维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, nVent Electric recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,尽管税务部门可能会喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冷硬现金。因此,逻辑步骤是查看EBIT中由实际自由现金流匹配的比例。在最近的三年中,nVent Electric记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的79%,这是正常的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。这笔冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that nVent Electric's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that nVent Electric takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for nVent Electric you should be aware of.

好消息是,nVent Electric展现出的将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力让我们感到高兴,就像蓬松的小狗让幼儿开心一样。 但是,从更严肃的角度来看,我们对其净债务与EBITDA的比例有些担忧。 综合考虑所有这些数据,我们认为nVent Electric对待债务的方式相当合理。这意味着他们承担了更多的风险,希望能够提高股东的回报。 资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。 比如说:我们发现nVent Electric有两个警示信号需要你注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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