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Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600618) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 9 12:53

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's (SHSE:600618) stock is up by a considerable 30% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical is:

11% = CN¥937m ÷ CN¥8.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To start with, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 6.2% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Yet, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has posted measly growth of 3.1% over the past five years. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

As a next step, we compared Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 4.9% in the same period.

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SHSE:600618 Past Earnings Growth January 9th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (or a retention ratio of 72% over the past three years, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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